[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Back to York on Thursday I’ve backed Relief Rally in the opener at 2/1. I would have preferred a bigger price but can’t find anything better. Conditions look absolutely spot on for this filly.

[Stents]

2 for York for today.

13:50 Copper Knight
15:00 Artistic Star

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

A nice little angle for anyone betting on York this week:

Horses aged 5,6 or 7

Won 1 of their last 2 starts

Previously won at the Ebor festival

Days since last run 11+

10/17 winners

15/17 win and placed.

These stats have been compiled since 2014.

[CFC91]

Bookies day today! Paddington and Gregory beaten

[Bonnyman]

Gregory is my selection for the st Leger,today was a disaster but it stayed on at the end after setting ridiculous fractions ,glad it did not win today

This post has been edited by Bonnyman: 23 August 2023 - 03:01 PM

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I wasn’t gonna go near the International Stakes especially Paddington who’d won 6 times already this season, rarely does a winner of that race have more than 3 wins in the season let alone 6 so I wasn’t gonna touch it with the proverbial Bargepole.

I was disappointed in my selections today apart from Aztec Empire who was desperately unlucky, he was travelling better than the entire field then he got boxed in on that inside rail, Oisen Murphy eventually managed to make his way around them and then still nearly caught the winner but if you put that 1 in your tracker it’ll win a class 2 handicap at some point probably even on his next run.

Better luck tomorrow.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Bonnyman said:

1692802719[/url]' post='1764817']
Gregory is my selection for the st Leger,today was a disaster but it stayed on at the end after setting ridiculous fractions ,glad it did not win today

Yeh Gregory does look like a nice bet for the Ledger over the 14 furlong distance.

That’s why he didn’t perform today because he won at 14 furlong lto and he dropped back in distance to 12 furlong and you can’t win the Voltigeur Stakes by doing that, I think the Gosdens were just using York as prep for the St Ledger.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I think I’m gonna leave Fridays racing alone. I’ve got shortlists for the first 4 races but I don’t like any of them so I’m gonna start whittling down Saturdays entries so I can (hopefully) grab some early value when the bog prices become available tomorrow.

[Bonnyman]

Fancy the Richard Fahey horse in first ridden by hanaghan in his last ride dver...save the last dance drifting like a barge,can't fancy her on fast ground

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Bonnyman said:

1692828209[/url]' post='1764932']
Fancy the Richard Fahey horse in first ridden by hanaghan in his last ride dver...save the last dance drifting like a barge,can't fancy her on fast ground

I know it’s drifted 9/2 now, I was hoping for rain, I can’t even predict the weather this week, my brains broken, I wouldn’t be surprised if Stay Alert wins the Yorkshire Oaks now, that’s shortened as soon as I announced I won’t be backing it but it’ll run well. In the 2 races I’ve bet on tomorrow I’ve got a Haggas horse and an AOB horse and I wouldn’t be surprised if I’ve got them in the wrong order as they’ve got 1 each in both races.
But I might have 1 for Saturday, I’ve got Royal Champion shortlisted in the Stenstall Stakes at 1.50 and the same horse is also shortlisted in the Winter Hill Stakes later in the evening at Windsor so look out for that 1.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I picked 4 in the end for tomorrow, all e/w punts, singles and a lucky 15 getting these prices:


1.50 Marhaba the Champ 10/1
2.25 River of Stars 16/1
3.00 Haatem 8/1
3.35 Khaadem 25/1

🤞 🐎 💰

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Got 1 nice looking bet lined up tomorrow in the 7 furlong City of York Stakes at 3.00 tomorrow.

I wanted to take on the favourite Kinross as lto winners don’t fare well in this so I’ve backed 3 year old Issac Shelby nicely drawn in stall 3 to turn Dettioris aging mount Kinross over.

Kinross won this race last year and despite being a short priced favourite previous winners of this race don’t fare well so he may be worth laying for any layers out there.

My selection hasn’t finished outside the top 2 in 7 furlong races apart from last years Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes which was far too hot for the colt and I’m expecting a really big run tomorrow and he’s still available at 13/2 which still represents good value as the Night of Thunder progeny goes on g/f and g/s ground.

I’ve still got shortlists for the other races but I’m gonna have a closer look at those in the morning to double check that conditions are suitable.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Tomorrow at Salisbury 3.40 I’ve gone dutch playing Symbology 5/1 and Queen of Mougins 16/1 both e/w bog 4 places. 🤞

[HistoricWarwick]

For the Ayr Gold Cup I am backing Lethal Levi

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

On Saturday I’ve had Nymphadora in the 1,30 Newbury 5/1 and an e/w on Matters Most at 3.15 taking the 9/1.

I’ll have a look at those large Ayr Handicaps If I fancy a headache later.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I’ve also had Balance Play 10/3 in the 2.40 Newbury and then at Ayr I had
1,15 Isla Kai 4/1

1.50 Pride of America 5/2
2,25 Fast and Loose 25/1 ew
3.00 Bellarchi 50/1 ew
3.35 Jean les Pins 8/1 ew
And at Curragh 2.30 Chief Little Rock 9/1 ew

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Non runner in the 3.35 so switched to Albasheer 14/1 ew

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Friday at Newmarket:

1.50 Coppice 10/3
2.25 Azazat 12/1 ew
3.00 Carla’s Way 4/1
3.35 Epictetus 7/1 ew
5.20 Lions Pride 2/1

🤞 🐎