[Ron Powell]

I have calculated the top seven places at the end of the season based on current form, bogey teams, squad size and the impact that playing 3 games in 8 days might have on the outcome. 1st Sutton Utd 85 points: 2nd Torquay Utd 73 points: 3rd Notts County 72 points: 4th Stockport County 72 points: 5th Hartlepool Utd 72 points: 6th Wrexham 67 points: 7th The Spireites 65 points. History also shows that the team finishing in the last play off place is quite often the most successful! Let’s hope history repeats itself if my calculations are correct.

[isleaiw1]

Ron Powell, on 30 March 2021 - 08:27 AM, said:

I have calculated the top seven places at the end of the season based on current form, bogey teams, squad size and the impact that playing 3 games in 8 days might have on the outcome. 1st Sutton Utd 85 points: 2nd Torquay Utd 73 points: 3rd Notts County 72 points: 4th Stockport County 72 points: 5th Hartlepool Utd 72 points: 6th Wrexham 67 points: 7th The Spireites 65 points. History also shows that the team finishing in the last play off place is quite often the most successful! Let’s hope history repeats itself if my calculations are correct.

Good work, be interesting to see how accurate they are.

I make that a points per game for remaining games left for each of those teams as follows:

Sutton - 1.846
Torquay - 1.692
Notts - 1.625
Stockport - 1.846
Hartlepool - 1.5
Wrexham - 1.538
Chesterfield - 1.429

I know we have a difficult 21 day spell and its the sharp end, nerves play a part, injuries play a part, but hasnt Rowe averaged much more than that since he joined?

[Duckys Moved]

isleaiw1, on 30 March 2021 - 08:40 AM, said:

Good work, be interesting to see how accurate they are.

I make that a points per game for remaining games left for each of those teams as follows:

Sutton - 1.846
Torquay - 1.692
Notts - 1.625
Stockport - 1.846
Hartlepool - 1.5
Wrexham - 1.538
Chesterfield - 1.429

I know we have a difficult 21 day spell and its the sharp end, nerves play a part, injuries play a part, but hasnt Rowe averaged much more than that since he joined?

Agreed our points per game including our dreadful start is 1.6, since Rowe joined it is closer to 2.

[Toddhopper.]

It’s currently just over 2

[Westbars Spireite]

Ron Powell, on 30 March 2021 - 08:27 AM, said:

I have calculated the top seven places at the end of the season based on current form, bogey teams, squad size and the impact that playing 3 games in 8 days might have on the outcome. 1st Sutton Utd 85 points: 2nd Torquay Utd 73 points: 3rd Notts County 72 points: 4th Stockport County 72 points: 5th Hartlepool Utd 72 points: 6th Wrexham 67 points: 7th The Spireites 65 points. History also shows that the team finishing in the last play off place is quite often the most successful! Let’s hope history repeats itself if my calculations are correct.

How do you calculate something based on ‘bogey teams’?

[metallilad]

Westbars Spireite, on 30 March 2021 - 11:06 AM, said:

How do you calculate something based on ‘bogey teams’?

He could explain the equations and algorithms he used to calculate the positions but it's snot easy to understand.

[lindave]

If we stay consistant and injury free I can see us finishing 4th, then anything can happen.

[Saltergate411597]

Notts County losing at home to Aldershot tonight hasn’t harmed us!