[Nassau_board]

Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil, on 09 August 2023 - 01:49 PM, said:

Don’t knock it.

Might be able to make a few quid out of that, already got 1 shortlisted in the 3.55 Sovereign Spirit currently 16/1, expecting that to be a lot shorter on Thursday especially if it’s drawn nicely.
You won’t be laughing on a Saturday afternoon when you see that’s placed.

20/1 and with a jockey I’m sure we all know zero about.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Nassau_board said:

1691766345[/url]' post='1761428']
20/1 and with a jockey I'm sure we all know zero about.

Came right from the back and managed to finish 4th, not enough for a place though but might get 1 here…

Deauville 3.26 marhaba ya sanafi 11/1 e/w

[Nassau_board]

5:28 Miss Sligo

Thought it would be 5/1 but at 8/1 I think she’s a bet.

[HistoricWarwick]

I was at Leicester yesterday - first visit in nearly 20 years...

Pleasant course - would visit again although a Monday afternoon in January would be one for the purists.

Backed all three of Osbourne's horses E/W as I followed his horsebox - as good a tip as any on a Sunday as I had a winner and two seconds...

[Nassau_board]

HistoricWarwick, on 14 August 2023 - 10:24 AM, said:

I was at Leicester yesterday - first visit in nearly 20 years...

Pleasant course - would visit again although a Monday afternoon in January would be one for the purists.

Backed all three of Osbourne's horses E/W as I followed his horsebox - as good a tip as any on a Sunday as I had a winner and two seconds...

I’m not a fan of Leicester, was the bookmaker shouting something stupid again?

I managed to beat the market but found one too good. Sounds like you had a better return.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I’ve been busy making shortlists for some of the big uns coming up over the weekend.

At Newbury Saturday 1.50 I’ve got Arrest, Jack Darcey and Voodoo Queen, at 3,35 I’ve got Olivia Maralda and Marbaan, prices currently ranging from 4/1 to 16/1

At Ripon Saturday 2.40 Holbach 20/1 and 3.15 Ingra Tor 12/1 and Aphelios 16/1

And on Sunday Curragh 4,05 Goldana, no prices available.

I’ll be checking stall numbers and ground conditions and hopefully getting these bets on Thursday.

I’ve got shortlists for several other races but they trimming down a bit.

[Nassau_board]

Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil, on 15 August 2023 - 03:59 PM, said:

I’ve been busy making shortlists for some of the big uns coming up over the weekend.

At Newbury Saturday 1.50 I’ve got Arrest, Jack Darcey and Voodoo Queen, at 3,35 I’ve got Olivia Maralda and Marbaan, prices currently ranging from 4/1 to 16/1

At Ripon Saturday 2.40 Holbach 20/1 and 3.15 Ingra Tor 12/1 and Aphelios 16/1

And on Sunday Curragh 4,05 Goldana, no prices available.

I’ll be checking stall numbers and ground conditions and hopefully getting these bets on Thursday.

I’ve got shortlists for several other races but they trimming down a bit.

Why do you look at the short antepost markets? It’s something I’ve never really focused on.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Nassau_board said:

1692115686[/url]' post='1762389']
Why do you look at the short antepost markets? It's something I've never really focused on.

These days I only focus on group races and some of the big handicaps and I try and specialise in getting value early prices.

I stat profile all the runners of every group race in Britain and Ireland, usually before the final declarations hoping that I’ve got a shortlist to work with when they’ve been declared, sometimes the shortlists are too big, other times I wipe out the whole field.

I never actually bet on the antepost, I try and get them on asap when they’re declared and the Saturday BOG betting markets open (usually around lunchtime Thursday)

[HistoricWarwick]

If you are betting on flat, surely you need to see them in the paddock but, more importantly on the way to post. Especially 2-3 year olds?

[Sammy Spireite]

2.35 Beverley - Bobina

Bloke I work with is a joint owner (part of a syndicate) and they've been told by the trainer its "in with a chance" - pinch of salt taken!

Started the day 16/1, currently in to 9s

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

HistoricWarwick said:

1692189164[/url]' post='1762791']
If you are betting on flat, surely you need to see them in the paddock but, more importantly on the way to post. Especially 2-3 year olds?

It depends on how you bet on horse racing, you’re talking about on course betting, there’s a few methods of betting on course such as paddock viewing, I knew one guy who used to watch all weather racing and he used to lip read the bookies and watch where he sent the runners to put large bets on and basically followed the money at places like Southwell and Wolves.

I rarely get to a race course these days so the only bets I have are on the large group races and handicaps where I have all the data and trends for the previous 12 runnings of the race, I match all the relevant stats to the entrants and profile potential winners that way. When the prices become available I weigh up if it’s a value bet or not and make my decision. I use trainer stats, sire info, ground conditions, jockey bookings, etc to assist me, I spent several days focusing on a small handful of races and that’s how I make my selections, this week I’ve been looking at group races at Salisbury, Cork, Leopardstown, Curragh, Newbury and a couple of big handicaps from Ripon.

[Nassau_board]

Sammy Spireite, on 16 August 2023 - 12:40 PM, said:

2.35 Beverley - Bobina

Bloke I work with is a joint owner (part of a syndicate) and they've been told by the trainer its "in with a chance" - pinch of salt taken!

Started the day 16/1, currently in to 9s

Ran with no rear shoes. It looks like they need to replaced with jet engines to make it competitive

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Put my first weekend bets on, grabbing the bog prices while still available.

I’ve gone for Arrest in the 1.50 at Newbury getting 7/2 and Marbaan in the 3.35 grabbing the 8/1 on offer.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Plenty of decent racing to get my teeth into this week, managed to place 3 early ones for York on Wednesday in what looks like a really exciting and (hopefully) profitable week.

2.25 Cogitate 10/3
3.00 Artistic Star 12/1
4.10 Aztec Empire 6/1

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

1.50 Mondammej 14/1 e/w

[Bonnyman]

Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil, on 21 August 2023 - 02:28 PM, said:

1.50 Mondammej 14/1 e/w

only just seen this thread,i think sweet william is a good thing in the ebor,group horse in a handicap.

[Bonnyman]

Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil, on 21 August 2023 - 01:18 PM, said:

Plenty of decent racing to get my teeth into this week, managed to place 3 early ones for York on Wednesday in what looks like a really exciting and (hopefully) profitable week.

2.25 Cogitate 10/3
3.00 Artistic Star 12/1
4.10 Aztec Empire 6/1

thought artistic star was paceless at goodwood,not a fan of horses that run down the field in the derby.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

I’ve got an early 1 for Thursday, Savethelastdance 5/2, really stands out in that field, Irish Oaks winner, superb record of NTO winners especially in the Yorkshire Oaks, I’m also expecting a big run from Stay Alert currently 14/1, wouldn’t surprise me to see it place but it’s AOBs race to lose.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

Bonnyman said:

1692706652[/url]' post='1764595']
thought artistic star was paceless at goodwood,not a fan of horses that run down the field in the derby.

Last 2 winners of the Voltiger failed at Goodwood in the Gordon Stakes so Artistic Stars not without a chance but could do with some juice in the ground which was predicted when I placed the bet plus the yard seem determined to get a 12 furlong winner out of the colt at some point and Galileo progeny do well in this, it’s currently 18s, it’ll need an sp of 10s or less to win it though, if the rain comes the price will drop.

[Manfred Archie Mac Gerbil]

These aren’t my selections but a geezer I know part owns Shandancer that’s running at Worcester at 7.30 this evening and he fancies it, I don’t because it got agitated pre race lto but he reckons the tongue tie will serve him well.


He also backed Zoran at 5.30, Courtland 6.00, Ridge Hill 6.30, Mix of Clover/ No recollection 7.00 and Broomfield Cave at 8.00, I’ve not backed any of these because I like to find my own and don’t touch summer jumpers.