Westbars Spireite, on 19 September 2014 - 07:52 PM, said:
It's extremely unlikely. Obviously.
But he's a man in the form of his life and after doing it twice I would suggest that 40/1 is greater than the actual probability.
But he's a man in the form of his life and after doing it twice I would suggest that 40/1 is greater than the actual probability.
i ran 2 betting shops for over a decade ,i can assure you if bookmakers are offering 40/1 on a hattrick its not greater than the actual probability,if doyle was 5/2 to score in the game then in theory him getting a hatrick would be 35/1,but its not that simple as many variables are taken into consideration,firstly if doyle is 5/2 to score a goal in a game,then he has 90 minutes to do that,to score a 2nd goal he has less than 90 minutes to achieve it and to score a third even less time so every time he scores his odds increase if he scored a goal on 10 minutes ,50 minutes and 80 minutes the odds on him scoring would probably be...5/2...3/1 and 5/1..which would be 83/1.Also the hatrick is away from home,i dont think 100/1 would have been value.